Taking A Deep Breath, You’re Now Halfway Through The Trading Year!

Landon S., Kintsugi Global Partners Co-Founder
Contributor  Latin America & Pan-Asian Markets  

 

An Overview of Our Energy and Gold Outlook Right Now

Crude oil globally has experienced an incredible amount of uncertainty due to OPECs growing aim to regulate prices while at the same time drillers in the US continue to expand their reserves through ever increasing ventures, shale is still a big part of that.

The market was very worried  that high demand would force OPEC members to stick to their agreement (which rarely happens anyway), or that rising prices would cause a ramp up of US production.  Our trading risk models, and our energy derivatives desk feel confident that the crude market has reached an equilibrium.  American stockpiles of crude are now down by four million barrels and even Russia is cutting output by 1.8 million barrels per day.   So, anything is possible.  Our prediction is that the market and supply demand matrix will normalize within the next 9-18 months and thus create a pullback at first, but then a more stable base for prices to rise for steadily.


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